Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 10.404490 11.628728 12.951078 14.487475 16.225895 18.134648 20.392936
2025-05-18 8.197032 9.813032 11.693884 14.052722 16.943136 20.383631 24.810233
2025-05-25 6.778117 8.576892 10.801315 13.771953 17.661687 22.617730 29.468263
2025-06-01 5.817519 7.709473 10.171010 13.637945 18.442570 24.935293 34.491219
2025-06-08 5.122777 7.063198 9.700682 13.591281 19.258147 27.325441 39.884697
2025-06-15 4.718330 6.742339 9.604639 14.009022 20.724921 30.759085 47.224767
2025-06-22 4.248271 6.261362 9.207882 13.912492 21.381551 33.030196 53.068049
2025-06-29 3.802945 5.760795 8.715476 13.591662 21.619539 34.636242 58.013425
2025-07-06 3.459006 5.374223 8.347682 13.408421 22.028833 36.528721 63.658622
2025-07-13 3.289458 5.241065 8.357834 13.828810 23.473434 40.310937 73.160820
2025-07-20 3.139817 5.122483 8.374352 14.252077 24.958491 44.328742 83.679616
2025-07-27 2.949307 4.915936 8.220479 14.355149 25.870147 47.400524 92.814062
2025-08-03 2.705377 4.601895 7.862710 14.072563 26.069171 49.223444 99.875863
2025-08-10 2.495567 4.329284 7.553193 13.847246 26.354148 51.259238 107.745421
2025-08-17 2.312305 4.087584 7.276237 13.652372 26.672955 53.401209 116.205142
2025-08-24 2.160883 3.890278 7.061779 13.553644 27.170112 55.971467 126.062350
2025-08-31 2.032714 3.724777 6.891055 13.521563 27.797806 58.897291 137.253409
2025-09-07 1.969758 3.677236 6.941137 13.943156 29.445615 64.297713 155.453005
2025-09-14 1.854062 3.517251 6.755541 13.849711 29.942462 67.133954 167.664508
2025-09-21 1.725082 3.320448 6.478952 13.531527 29.888931 68.661341 176.698086
2025-09-28 1.621285 3.165845 6.274779 13.349613 30.126332 70.915082 188.105164
2025-10-05 1.582374 3.140601 6.336513 13.768170 31.843407 77.089756 211.770504
2025-10-12 1.545334 3.116038 6.397026 14.189483 33.619873 83.678339 238.011765